In Utah, Republicans dominate politics, but a new poll reveals divisions within the party. The survey conducted by Noble Predictive Insights grouped Republican voters into three categories based on their views – “Trump-first Republicans,” “party-first Republicans,” and “neither type” Republicans. The poll found that Trump-first and party-first Republicans make up a significant portion of the GOP electorate, with only about 14% falling into the “neither” category.
Overall, the poll showed favorable views for prominent Utah Republicans like Gov. Spencer Cox, Sen. Mike Lee, Sen. John Curtis, and former Sen. Mitt Romney. Trump-skeptical Republicans, like Romney, and those who embrace Trump, like Lee, both have positive favorability ratings within the party. The poll also suggests that the divide between Trump-first and party-first Republicans is not solely due to Trump, but has deeper roots related to the caucus-convention system and preference for the option to gather signatures for ballot access.
The data also indicates that candidates who support signature gathering tend to receive more support from party-first Republicans. For instance, while Sen. Lee collected signatures for his reelection in 2022, he has called for SB54, which allows signature gathering, to be repealed.
In conclusion, the poll highlights the ongoing divisions within the Utah Republican Party and how different factions view key politicians. The data suggests that these divisions are not solely about Trump but have deeper roots in the state’s political system. The results provide insights into how different Republican groups perceive their elected officials in the state.
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